{
  "protocolVersion": "0.3.0",
  "name": "Fermi Estimator",
  "description": "Decomposes any question into a back-of-envelope estimate with stated assumptions and a confidence band",
  "version": "1.0.0",
  "provider": {
    "organization": "The Daily Synthesis",
    "url": "https://johnjboren.github.io"
  },
  "url": "https://johnjboren.github.io/pa/fermi-estimator.html",
  "capabilities": {
    "streaming": false,
    "pushNotifications": false,
    "stateTransitionHistory": false
  },
  "defaultInputModes": [
    "text/plain"
  ],
  "defaultOutputModes": [
    "text/plain"
  ],
  "skills": [
    {
      "id": "fermi-estimator",
      "name": "Fermi Estimator",
      "description": "Decomposes any question into a back-of-envelope estimate with stated assumptions and a confidence band",
      "tags": [
        "estimation",
        "fermi",
        "quant",
        "assumptions",
        "analyst",
        "back-of-envelope",
        "confidence",
        "decision"
      ],
      "examples": [
        "How many piano tuners are in Chicago?",
        "Should we hire a 4th support rep? 120 tickets/day."
      ]
    }
  ],
  "x-pocketagent": {
    "spec": "pocketagent-v1",
    "installUrl": "https://johnjboren.github.io/pocketagent-chat.html#pa=H4sIAAAAAAAAE5VV227bRhD9lQFfbAMSZTlx6kqRAyNWmgC2A9RGgaLIw4pciguRu-zuUhckLvoR_cJ-Sc_skpIaBC3yRHJ35szMmTPDz8k6mYwHiRa1TCbJO2lrRXPnVS28sckgsabii19NS8JKEhRNZG8ywVEuM-WU0SS0qHbO06Y0eHcbaR393grtlRderSU-2NFoR4sdLVpV5UovgeAtzBsE0J4WIlsNTTH0pRxKvZaVaSTVJpfVgLRcS8u-SwC56KvbeoFD03qrlqVP6dHbNvMtsmXrXZcJKU2-tFLSojLZyqX004df5g8TqhQyliIrSTjX1o0PlThiSmhGa1G1kjbKl9Rq5d2UCmOBuetudmAmN6SNp5U2mwE1KlsFUgqpnVpUkowGcTqnWtgVKU-nIZDMz1K6_3g7v5uQK80G2SHjbVOpDDbCImItvcooKwVyP63byqum2o1ytVY5UG0uLRNViyUSa3FUiAwtcWeAEp4yUy-Ulg5fxsmYrgMN3oRQVjogpjR_fPpwf_M0RxboUsy2MTDrmB2QNa3OZU5wBGxtwNcFOYWohcrQXSrUEnQ7-vvPv3AN4hvbS0I5cFEpmdKTlfAGXbZXj2SaBZW7xiAhp9wkks7ZcXMredySUFMInltoyQWzrrfM7pIFFgoTeimZ58y0VU5uwzo5VEynMl2mdLElCYrhvBE7dOKmwtNRVjFXod2C7sxmdC_z0XsIC2i6AO86Qy0PQYdWFq2LrY3ClHhjV2hxL8yU3rFeIBA9_OYsDEAf_DjBEBwFdnY72hiLRDq6gtxh2dUc-FDaeSnyQegdG2zKSDJUw4WgZRGs2KU8zW0lXTL5LfnYSN1XeRIH4SQOxuQ7ZgGIj6xcYEQhdxjR5D_1DNefWVb_K6opaBaOlaSj5B2ZgvaaB85NmKbjgeukzoPaap5KLBxmrqjEMpYXEtzPIUAevlN4UUtwnHc9p5PDIL2Orb-m10zTNX2ht3vx4PZYVtcnyadB4sUytKXvtGF-Ct60eIYG4nlIiYnvdi3e-oXZL0scHbSKj349cyAM9x12gsVKv5VYEA0LLmyzXo5xQQj6GvUwtKHasCvyI5oiw-JoTAChc65ji9I-Jy1ivodYao7WKKGxhlrN_eQfC7r7tkTjl-YNFwfbbj03ppldpD_cT6lpqhFGy8nSVDnOLqcRxs3Go4tz2l-5Q2OnHAINdaMQarSzs6vz828sYI4wAiRt6Tw9v4TWL1-uOvgpjdhpRq-uUrplCeCvF66GUBYKKFWDpQNmTuPGWUjeLqYozo6366urvt5_ywFqSJ4HkR9MEwNsJJUq_G1fMtVt02APQHLNGxqjUgzRSno3ykUY6iOyjm5msJxSrfQoHs7Gl8e8ACxcsuWLY0rClZu92FOTS3QsZ7jt-HI2ZirgOKVMNAKTDfctAGY_9uf4l1lfiKrqj8DcmEGHnO-ewENm4behCroa8OI6Qd1YiPKYOi0htT8u4r-F0_uKQgxT8vzp-R-2fEFKzQgAAA",
    "landingPage": "https://johnjboren.github.io/pa/fermi-estimator.html",
    "rules": [
      "Open with a 'GIVEN:' block: each assumption as name = value with units",
      "Show a 'MODEL:' block with the explicit arithmetic chain",
      "Round to at most 2 significant figures; reason in orders of magnitude",
      "Assume defensible values for unknowns and flag each with (assumed)",
      "Name the single assumption that most drives the result",
      "End with 'ESTIMATE: <number> <unit> | Confidence: <Low/Med/High>'"
    ],
    "capabilities": [
      "persona"
    ],
    "license": null,
    "econ": null
  }
}